Ranking 2024 NFL Rookie Quarterbacks: Who Was Drafted Into The Best Situation?

A record six quarterbacks were selected in the top 12 picks in 2024.Take it from this part-time fortune teller: One or a few of them could be very good this season. One or a few of them could fall on their face or watch from the sideline.Wait, you wanted specifics? Um, sure thing, you got it.But remember that we said *part-time* fortune teller. So when you read these rankings of how the first-round rookies will fare this season, from No. 1 to No. 6, know that we could turn out wrong. We won’t know for sure until the real answers reveal themselves during the season on any given Sunday (or Monday) (or Thursday) (or Friday) (or Saturday) (OK, let’s get on to the list).1.    Caleb Williams, BearsThe Bears have a long history of drafting first-round quarterbacks who failed to meet expectations. Justin Fields had his moments, but the Bears shipped him to the Pittsburgh Steelers for pennies on the dollar. Chicago grabbed Mitch Trubisky at No. 2 overall in 2017 when Patrick Mahomes remained on the board until No. 10 (whoops). Rex Grossman, Cade McNown, the list goes on.This time could be different. Williams has massive ability, and the Bears actually have a solid infrastructure in place for a rookie quarterback this time around. The Bears’ receiving corps includes D.J. Moore, Keenan Allen and fellow first-round pick Rome Odunze. Add in tight ends Cole Kmet and Gerald Everett, running backs D’Andre Swift and Khalil Herbert, and an improved offensive line, and Williams is stepping into a nice situation. Could he finally be the first-rounder who lives up to the hype in Chicago?2.    J.J. McCarthy, VikingsMcCarthy does not have the biggest arm in this draft class. He is not the most dominant athlete. He is not even considered to be the most accurate passer.So why is he No. 2 on this list?McCarthy is solid in every category, and he is entering a near-perfect situation in Minnesota. For one, he will have one of the best wideouts in the NFL in Justin Jefferson. He will have a dynamic second-year receiver in Jordan Addison, a red-zone threat in tight end T.J. Hockenson, a proven veteran in the backfield in Aaron Jones and a gritty offensive line led by Christian Darrisaw.McCarthy does not have to light the league on fire. He just has to find open receivers and hit his targets. He can do that.3.    Jayden Daniels, CommandersThe reigning Heisman Trophy winner out of LSU steps into an intriguing situation. He will work closely with new offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury, who knows a thing or two about tailoring game plans to highly skilled quarterbacks (see: Mahomes at Texas Tech and Kyler Murray with the Arizona Cardinals). Washington also features multiple playmakers such as Terry McLaurin, Jahan Dotson and Austin Ekeler.There is a concern with the offensive line, and that could loom large. The Commanders gave up 65 sacks in 2023, which tied for second-most in the league. Washington released left tackle Charles Leno and drafted Brandon Coleman with the No. 76 pick. Fingers crossed. Heck, eyes crossed, if that’s what it takes. 4.    Drake Maye, PatriotsIs it possible that Maye wins six championships with the Patriots and becomes the subject of a Netflix roast in 2048 or so? Yeah, sure. Anything is possible.OK, fine, that won’t happen. And it’s not fair to expect Maye to be superhuman. Better to set more attainable goals, like just four or five titles and maybe a Hulu documentary or something.In all seriousness, Maye has the physical tools, and he was touted as a potential top pick for much of his college career at North Carolina. The reason he’s No. 4 on this list has more to do with the Patriots than it has to do with him. Instead of building a great foundation and dropping in a young quarterback, New England took the opposite approach: It got that tantalizing young quarterback, and now it has to spend the next couple seasons finding ways to build up talent around him.5.    Bo Nix, BroncosNobody expected Nix to go No. 12 overall to the Broncos. He was considered by many to be more of a second-day prospect who might go in Rounds 2 or 3, or maybe sneak into the end of the first round if a team was eager to take a shot.Instead, his name was called surprisingly early by the Broncos, who had not drafted a quarterback in the first round since Jay Cutler in 2006. He enters a quarterback competition with Jarrett Stidham and Zach Wilson, and it’s not certain when he will get the keys to the team. He also joins a team that appears to be in a bit of disarray. There’s a chance that Nix clicks under Sean Payton, but there’s also a chance that this goes sideways.6.    Michael Penix Jr., FalconsFirst things first: Penix could be a very good NFL quarterback. On another team, in another situation, he could have had a clear path to success provided that he stayed healthy. But through no fault of his own, he went No. 8 to the Falcons and immediately became part of the most bizarre story of the first round.A month before the Falcons drafted Penix, they signed veteran quarterback Kirk Cousins to a deal worth $100 million guaranteed. Cousins is the starter and Penix is the apprentice, says the team. But how is this supposed to work? Penix is already 24. He will be 28 by the end of his rookie deal. It’s a weird dynamic all around, and one that neither Cousins nor Penix asked to experience. 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